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The forecast of the European Central Bank assumes that the oil price will be $81.8 per barrel in 2024, $71.8 per barrel in 2025, $70.1 per barrel in 2026 and $69.2 per barrel in 2027.Adobe(ADBE.O) fell by 12%, the biggest one-day drop since March 15th.Lian Ping, Dean and Chief Economist of Guangkai Chief Industry Research Institute: It is expected that deficit ratio will be allocated 4%-4.5% next year, and its finance will be more active to meet the current economic needs. (Xinhua Finance)

Brazilian Presidential Spokesman: President Lula will run for re-election in 2026.Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation: domestic bank deposits in the United States increased by 1.1% to US$ 194.6 billion, and uninsured deposits increased by 2.7%; The number of "problem banks" has increased by two to 68, with total assets of $87.3 billion.European Central Bank President Lagarde: The neutral interest rate may be slightly higher than before. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that as it gradually approaches the neutral interest rate, it will further discuss its related issues. The neutral interest rate may be slightly higher than before, and will be discussed in due course.

According to the report, the Israeli Air Force has completed the investigation of the October 7 incident and will submit it to the Chief of Staff next week.Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has regained consciousness after undergoing head surgery again. At present, the situation is stable. On the morning of 12th local time, Brazilian President Lula underwent head surgery again in the Syrian-Lebanese hospital in Sao Paulo, the largest city in the country, to prevent further intracranial hemorrhage. The reporter from the General Station learned from the press conference held by the hospital that Lula had recovered after the operation and was in a stable condition, so he could talk with the medical staff. The medical team said that the operation, as part of the first treatment on the 10th, started at around 7: 00 on the 12th and lasted less than an hour. The medical staff said that the operation was successful and Lula needed further examination in the intensive care unit until the 13th. According to the current rehabilitation situation, the medical team assessed that Lula's discharge time was on the 16th or 17th of this month.Liu Xiangdong, Deputy Director of Scientific Research and Information Department of International Economic Exchange Center: Comprehensive improvement of "involution" competition will help scientific and technological innovation and industrial development enter a virtuous circle. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed that scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new quality productive forces and build a modern industrial system. In this regard, Liu Xiangdong, deputy director of the Scientific Research and Information Department of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that at present, China's economic development is in a critical period of transforming old and new kinetic energy. Scientific and technological innovation is the core element of developing new quality productivity. To break through the bottleneck of development from the supply side, it is necessary to lead industrial innovation and development with scientific and technological innovation and actively cultivate and develop new quality productivity. To cultivate new quality productivity, we should drive productivity to leap to advanced quality with scientific and technological innovation, open up new development fields and tracks with original and subversive technological innovation, and shape new development momentum and new advantages. (SSE)